The ASH project has formed a heavy collaboration with the NOAA HYSPLIT team at Air Resources Laboratory. HYSPLIT is an incredible tool to forecast where the ASH balloons will travel and the best time to launch. The ASH balloons are currently being used to test and validate HYSPLIT calculated trajectories. For more information about the NOAA HYSPLIT model, click the link on the left or read below.
About the HYSPLIT Model
The HYSPLIT model is a complete system for computing simple air parcel trajectories, as well as complex transport, dispersion, chemical transformation, and deposition simulations. HYSPLIT continues to be one of the most extensively used atmospheric transport and dispersion models in the atmospheric sciences community. A common application is a back trajectory analysis to determine the origin of air masses and establish source-receptor relationships. HYSPLIT has also been used in a variety of simulations describing the atmospheric transport, dispersion, and deposition of pollutants and hazardous materials. Some examples of the applications include tracking and forecasting the release of radioactive material, wildfire smoke, windblown dust, pollutants from various stationary and mobile emission sources, allergens and volcanic ash.
The model calculation method is a hybrid between the Lagrangian approach, using a moving frame of reference for the advection and diffusion calculations as the trajectories or air parcels move from their initial location, and the Eulerian methodology, which uses a fixed three-dimensional grid as a frame of reference to compute pollutant air concentrations (The model name, no longer meant as an acronym, originally reflected this hybrid computational approach). HYSPLIT has evolved over more than 30 years, from estimating simplified single trajectories based on radiosonde observations to a system accounting for multiple interacting pollutants transported, dispersed, and deposited over local to global scales.
The dispersion of a pollutant is calculated by assuming either puff or particle dispersion. In the puff model, puffs expand until they exceed the size of the meteorological grid cell (either horizontally or vertically) and then split into several new puffs, each with its share of the pollutant mass. In the particle model, a fixed number of particles are advected about the model domain by the mean wind field and spread by a turbulent component. The model’s default configuration assumes a 3-dimensional particle distribution (horizontal and vertical).
The model can be run interactively on the Web through the ARL READY system, or the code executable and meteorological data can be downloaded to a Windows or Mac PC. The web version has been configured with some limitations to avoid computational saturation of the ARL web server. The registered PC version is complete with no computational restrictions, except that users must obtain their own meteorological data files. The unregistered version is identical to the registered version except that plume concentrations cannot be calculated with forecast meteorology data files. The trajectory-only model has no restrictions, and forecast or archive trajectories may be computed with either version.
For more details, see the publication: NOAA’s HYSPLIT atmospheric transport and dispersion modeling system by Stein et al. 2015 in the December, 2015 issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
On the 130th mission day, the K4UAH-6 balloon travelled through Greenland on July 16, 2021. Due to the large high and low pressure systems that are positioned over Greenland and the Norwegian Sea, early HYSPLIT-calculated trajectories show many possible trajectories over the next coming days.
Using the HYSPLIT model, GEFS 0.5 trajectories show many different trajectories when entering and exiting a large low pressure system. Using the Relative Horizontal Transport Deveration (RHTD) and individual ensemble member velocities, the separation of flow can be clearly characterized.
ASH members launch and recover a latex balloon payload to celebrate the start of the “Super Pressure Balloon Launch Season.” The next set of ASH launches is planned for late October 2021.